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Next releases: CPI: 28 October 2026 (Q3 2026) • WPI: 13 August 2026 (Q2 2026)

Groceries & FMCG Dashboard

Food price inflation, shrinkflation & your weekly grocery budget — what the official data really says.

Awaiting next official release

Food & grocery CPI subcategory detail will update to the latest official figure as soon as the next release is available. Showing the latest known values.

Food & non-alcoholic beverages
3.3%
YoY • Jun 2026
vs All groups CPI 3.9%
Your weekly basket impact
+$378
extra/yr on a $220/wk basket
Food vs Wage gap
+0.9pp
Wages ahead of food prices
Positioning
Not “which store is cheapest” — the bigger picture of what’s happening to your grocery budget and why.
Food CPI by Subcategory (latest YoY)
SubcategoryYoY %CategoryNotes
Bread and cereal products+2.3%StaplesStable; limited pack size changes observed.
Meat and seafoods+5.4%ProteinsBeef & veal +11.9%, Lamb & goat +14.6% — strong export demand driving prices.
Dairy and related products+6.3%ProteinsMilk and cheese main drivers.
Fruit and vegetables+0.7%FreshRecent moderation; fruit prices fell sharply in the month (tropical fruits).
Food products n.e.c.+1.3%PackagedSnacks & confectionery +4.1% (chocolate higher). Watch for shrinkflation in packs.
Non-alcoholic beverages+3.3%BeveragesSteady; coffees, juices, waters.
Meals out & take away foods+3.7%Out-of-homeWages + ingredient costs passed through. High visibility for consumers.
Source: ABS CPI detailed expenditure classes (cat. 6401.0).
Food Inflation vs Wage Growth — Can your wages keep up?
When the gap line is above zero, wages are outpacing food price rises. Below zero means food inflation is eroding spending power. Source: ABS CPI (6401.0) & WPI (6345.0).
Shrinkflation & Your Grocery Budget Reality
A UNSW professor noted that a young family without much discretionary income doesn't have time to sit on websites and apps price-comparing — calling it a heavy burden. Numberra fills the gap: not "which store is cheapest today" but the bigger picture of what's happening to your grocery budget and why.
Government is strengthening the Unit Pricing Code with penalties for breaches.
Key observations (April 2026)
  • Track unit prices on staples (meat, dairy, snacks) where pack sizes have quietly shrunk.
  • Meals out & takeaway (+3.7%) often hides ingredient + wage pass-through.
  • Fruit & veg moderation is welcome but volatile — seasonal swings common.
Government actively strengthening the Unit Pricing Code with penalties for breaches. Official data helps hold the line.
Subcategory YoY Inflation

Can I see grocery prices for my suburb?

Individual grocery pricing at a suburb level isn't available in our data. The ABS collects grocery inflation at the national and capital-city level through the CPI, but there is no official dataset tracking prices by suburb or individual store. For the most localised grocery pricing, check your preferred supermarket's website or weekly catalogue for current prices at your nearest store.

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